Daily Tanker Crossings
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vessels / day
7-DAY AVG
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Retrieving crossing data...
12-Month Crossing Profile (TRHBTKCD Proxy)
1Y HIGH: 87 |
1Y AVG: 45 |
1Y LOW: 0
Reduction from 1Y Avg
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PERCENT BELOW AVERAGE
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Closure Risk Score
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LOWMODHIGHCRIT
Cape of Good Hope Premium
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% PREMIUM VS HORMUZ ROUTE
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Days Since Traffic Collapse
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SINCE MID-MARCH 2026 COLLAPSE
Traffic fell from ~75 to sub-10 crossings following US-Iran escalation.
Global Oil Supply at Risk
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MILLION BARRELS / DAY
Full closure would remove ~20% of global seaborne crude from market.
EIA Brent Spot Price
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USD / BARREL
Alternative route days added: — days (UAE → Rotterdam via Cape)
Geopolitical Intelligence
Iran Threat Posture
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Diplomatic / Ceasefire Status
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Last Major Incident
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UKMTO / Naval Advisory
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Cascade Pathway
Trigger
Hormuz crossing collapse (–93% from 1Y avg)
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Supply Shock
17 mbd removed from seaborne supply; Brent spike
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Inflation Transmission
Energy → CPI; Fed paralysis risk (Event #27 CTM)
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Bond Stress
30Y Treasury pressure; $36T principal stack; Schiff trajectory
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Credit / Demand
Mortgage/credit channel contraction; demand destruction